The diagnostic value of the lumbar infusion test to predict symptomatic improvement after shunting for normal pressure hydrocephalus. A meta‑analysis

Acta Neurochirurgica (2025) 167:180

This meta-analysis found that the lumbar infusion test (LIT) has poor negative predictive value for predicting non-response to shunting in normal pressure hydrocephalus. LIT cannot reliably exclude patients from shunt surgery and should not be used for this purpose in its current form.

• The lumbar infusion test (LIT) is used to predict which normal pressure hydrocephalus (NPH) patients will benefit from CSF shunting.

• This meta-analysis pooled sensitivity, specificity, and negative predictive value (NPV) of LIT from 10 studies.

• Sensitivity of LIT (using Rout) was moderate (77–82%) at lower cutoffs (12–14 mmHg/ml/min), but specificity was low (34–37%).

• Higher Rout cutoff (18 mmHg/ml/min) increased specificity (78%) but decreased sensitivity (37%).

• NPV was consistently low for all cutoffs (≤33%), meaning LIT is poor at ruling out shunt responders.

• No other LIT parameters (e.g., plateau pressure, CSF amplitude) showed better diagnostic value.

• The test cannot be used to exclude patients from shunt implantation due to high false negative rates.

• Future research should focus on improving the negative predictive value of LIT for NPH.

Prediction of Shunt Responsiveness in Suspected Patients With Normal Pressure Hydrocephalus Using the Lumbar Infusion Test: A Machine Learning Approach

Neurosurgery 90:407–418, 2022

Machine learning (ML) approaches can significantly improve the classical Rout -based evaluation of the lumbar infusion test (LIT) and the clinical management of the normal pressure hydrocephalus.

OBJECTIVE: To develop a ML model that accurately identifies patients as candidates for permanent cerebral spinal fluid shunt implantation using only intracranial pressure and electrocardiogram signals recorded throughout LIT.

METHODS: This was a single-center cohort study of prospectively collected data of 96 patients who underwent LIT and 5-day external lumbar cerebral spinal fluid drainage (external lumbar drainage) as a reference diagnostic method. A set of selected 48 intracranial pressure/ electrocardiogram complex signal waveform features describing nonlinear behavior, wavelet transform spectral signatures, or recurrent map patterns were calculated for each patient. After applying a leave-one-out cross-validation training–testing split of the data set, we trained and evaluated the performance of various state-of-the-art ML algorithms.

RESULTS: The highest performing ML algorithm was the eXtreme Gradient Boosting. This model showed a good calibration and discrimination on the testing data, with an area under the receiver operating characteristic curve of 0.891 (accuracy: 82.3%, sensitivity: 86.1%, and specificity: 73.9%) obtained for 8 selected features. Our ML model clearly outperforms the classical Rout based manual classification commonly used in clinical practice with an accuracy of 62.5%.

CONCLUSION: This study successfully used the ML approach to predict the outcome of a 5-day external lumbar drainage and hence which patients are likely to benefit from permanent shunt implantation. Our automated ML model thus enhances the diagnostic utility ofLIT in management.