Global Spine Journal 2026, Vol. 16(3) 1633-1647
This systematic review and meta-analysis examines reoperation rates and associated risk factors following primary lumbar disc herniation surgery across 25 studies totaling 1,031,348 patients. Pooled reoperation rate was 8.5% overall (adjusted to 10.3% for publication bias), with rates varying by follow-up: 4% at ≤1 year, 11.1% at 1–5 years, and 8.8% beyond 5 years.
Key risk factors identified include smoking, older age, diabetes, and large annular defects, while sex was not significant. The review highlights heterogeneity across study designs and follow-up durations, recommends careful patient selection, extended conservative management or closer surveillance for high-risk patients, and calls for trials comparing revision techniques.
Objective Estimate the reoperation rate after lumbar disc herniation surgery and identify associated risk factors.
Evidence base 25 studies (including observational studies and 3 RCTs) totaling 1,031,348 patients were included.
Overall reoperation rate Pooled reoperation rate was 8.5% (95% CI 6.2%–11.6%); after trim-and-fill adjustment for publication bias it was 10.3% (95% CI 7.6%–14.0%).
Follow-up pattern Reoperation rates differed by follow-up duration: 4% at ≤1 year, 11.1% at 1–5 years, and 8.8% at >5 years (significant subgroup differences).
Smoking risk Smoking was associated with higher odds of reoperation (OR 1.39, 95% CI 1.09–1.78).
Age risk Older age was associated with higher odds of reoperation (OR 1.52, 95% CI 1.25–1.85).
Annular defect risk Larger annular defect size was associated with higher odds of reoperation (OR 2.19, 95% CI 1.07–4.48).
Other factors Diabetes and certain surgical techniques were linked to higher reoperation risk in individual studies; sex was not a significant predictor (OR 1.22, 95% CI 0.96–1.55).















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